c8e3016fd6
- Implement `sigen_daemon.py` to poll Sigenergy plant metrics and store snapshots. - Create `web_daemon.py` for serving a web interface with various endpoints. - Add debug scripts: - `debug_duplicates.py` to find duplicate target times in forecast data. - `debug_energy_forecast.py` to print baseline energy forecast curves. - `debug_oracle_evaluations.py` to run the oracle evaluator. - `debug_sigen.py` to inspect stored Sigenergy plant snapshots. - `debug_weather.py` to trace resolved truth data. - `modbus_test.py` for exploring Sigenergy plants or inverters over Modbus TCP. - Introduce `oracle_evaluator.py` for evaluating stored oracle predictions against actuals. - Add TCN training scripts in `tcn` directory for training usage sequence models.
406 lines
14 KiB
Python
406 lines
14 KiB
Python
from __future__ import annotations
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from bisect import bisect_right
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from dataclasses import dataclass
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from datetime import datetime, timedelta, timezone
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from math import cos, pi, sin
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from os import environ
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from typing import Iterator
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from gibil.classes.env_loader import EnvLoader
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@dataclass(frozen=True)
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class UsageSequenceScaleConfig:
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name: str
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hours: int
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step_seconds: int
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@dataclass(frozen=True)
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class UsageFeatureToken:
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name: str
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value: float
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@dataclass(frozen=True)
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class UsageSequenceDatasetConfig:
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lookback_days: int = 30
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future_hours: int = 24
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future_step_minutes: int = 15
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stride_minutes: int = 15
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local_timezone: str = "Europe/Stockholm"
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past_scales: tuple[UsageSequenceScaleConfig, ...] = (
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UsageSequenceScaleConfig(name="recent", hours=2, step_seconds=10),
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UsageSequenceScaleConfig(name="medium", hours=6, step_seconds=30),
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UsageSequenceScaleConfig(name="daily", hours=24, step_seconds=120),
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)
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@classmethod
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def from_env(cls) -> "UsageSequenceDatasetConfig":
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EnvLoader().load()
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return cls(
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lookback_days=int(environ.get("ASTRAPE_USAGE_SEQUENCE_LOOKBACK_DAYS", "30")),
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future_hours=int(environ.get("ASTRAPE_USAGE_SEQUENCE_FUTURE_HOURS", "24")),
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future_step_minutes=int(
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environ.get("ASTRAPE_USAGE_SEQUENCE_FUTURE_STEP_MINUTES", "15")
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),
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stride_minutes=int(environ.get("ASTRAPE_USAGE_SEQUENCE_STRIDE_MINUTES", "15")),
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local_timezone=environ.get(
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"ASTRAPE_LOCAL_TIMEZONE",
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environ.get("TZ", "Europe/Stockholm"),
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),
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)
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@dataclass(frozen=True)
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class UsageSequenceExample:
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issued_at: datetime
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past_by_scale: dict[str, list[list[float]]]
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past_tokens_by_scale: dict[str, list[list[UsageFeatureToken]]]
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future_features: list[list[float]]
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future_tokens: list[list[UsageFeatureToken]]
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targets: list[float]
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class UsageSequenceDatasetBuilder:
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"""Builds load forecasting windows from Sigen history."""
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past_feature_names = [
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"load_power_w",
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"solar_power_w",
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"grid_import_w",
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"grid_export_w",
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"battery_power_w",
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"battery_soc_pct",
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"hour_sin",
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"hour_cos",
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"dow_sin",
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"dow_cos",
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]
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future_feature_names = [
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"hour_sin",
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"hour_cos",
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"dow_sin",
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"dow_cos",
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"temperature_c",
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"shortwave_radiation_w_m2",
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"cloud_cover_pct",
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]
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def __init__(self, config: UsageSequenceDatasetConfig) -> None:
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self.config = config
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@classmethod
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def from_env(cls) -> "UsageSequenceDatasetBuilder":
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return cls(UsageSequenceDatasetConfig.from_env())
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def build(self, limit: int | None = None) -> list[UsageSequenceExample]:
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samples_by_scale = {
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scale.name: self._load_samples(step_seconds=scale.step_seconds)
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for scale in self.config.past_scales
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}
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target_samples = self._load_samples(
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step_seconds=self.config.future_step_minutes * 60
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)
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weather_by_target = self._load_weather_forecasts()
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if not target_samples or any(not samples for samples in samples_by_scale.values()):
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return []
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by_scale = {
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name: {sample["bucket"]: sample for sample in samples}
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for name, samples in samples_by_scale.items()
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}
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target_by_time = {
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sample["bucket"]: sample
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for sample in target_samples
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}
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first_available = max(samples[0]["bucket"] for samples in samples_by_scale.values())
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last_available = min(
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[samples[-1]["bucket"] for samples in samples_by_scale.values()]
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+ [target_samples[-1]["bucket"]]
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)
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start_at = first_available + timedelta(hours=self.max_past_hours)
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end_at = last_available - timedelta(hours=self.config.future_hours)
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issued_at = self._ceil_time(start_at, self.config.stride_minutes)
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examples: list[UsageSequenceExample] = []
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while issued_at <= end_at:
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example = self._build_example(
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issued_at,
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by_scale,
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target_by_time,
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weather_by_target,
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)
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if example is not None:
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examples.append(example)
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if limit is not None and len(examples) >= limit:
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break
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issued_at += timedelta(minutes=self.config.stride_minutes)
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return examples
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def iter_examples(self) -> Iterator[UsageSequenceExample]:
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for example in self.build():
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yield example
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def _build_example(
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self,
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issued_at: datetime,
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by_scale: dict[str, dict[datetime, dict[str, object]]],
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target_by_time: dict[datetime, dict[str, object]],
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weather_by_target: dict[datetime, list[dict[str, object]]],
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) -> UsageSequenceExample | None:
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future_times = [
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issued_at + timedelta(minutes=self.config.future_step_minutes * offset)
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for offset in range(1, self.future_steps + 1)
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]
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past_by_scale: dict[str, list[list[float]]] = {}
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past_tokens_by_scale: dict[str, list[list[UsageFeatureToken]]] = {}
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for scale in self.config.past_scales:
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past_times = [
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issued_at - timedelta(seconds=scale.step_seconds * offset)
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for offset in range(self.past_steps(scale), 0, -1)
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]
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past_rows = [
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by_scale[scale.name].get(target_at)
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for target_at in past_times
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]
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if any(row is None or row["load_power_w"] is None for row in past_rows):
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return None
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past_by_scale[scale.name] = [
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self._past_features(row) for row in past_rows if row is not None
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]
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past_tokens_by_scale[scale.name] = [
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self._past_tokens(row) for row in past_rows if row is not None
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]
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future_rows = [target_by_time.get(target_at) for target_at in future_times]
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if any(row is None or row["load_power_w"] is None for row in future_rows):
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return None
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return UsageSequenceExample(
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issued_at=issued_at,
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past_by_scale=past_by_scale,
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past_tokens_by_scale=past_tokens_by_scale,
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future_features=[
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self._future_features(target_at, issued_at, weather_by_target)
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for target_at in future_times
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],
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future_tokens=[
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self._future_tokens(target_at=target_at, issued_at=issued_at)
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for target_at in future_times
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],
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targets=[
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float(row["load_power_w"])
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for row in future_rows
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if row is not None
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],
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)
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@property
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def max_past_hours(self) -> int:
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return max(scale.hours for scale in self.config.past_scales)
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def past_steps(self, scale: UsageSequenceScaleConfig) -> int:
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return scale.hours * 60 * 60 // scale.step_seconds
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@property
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def future_steps(self) -> int:
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return self.config.future_hours * 60 // self.config.future_step_minutes
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def _past_features(self, row: dict[str, object]) -> list[float]:
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time_features = self._time_features(row["bucket"])
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return [
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self._number(row["load_power_w"]),
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self._number(row["solar_power_w"]),
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self._number(row["grid_import_w"]),
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self._number(row["grid_export_w"]),
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self._number(row["battery_power_w"]),
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self._number(row["battery_soc_pct"]),
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*time_features,
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]
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def _past_tokens(self, row: dict[str, object]) -> list[UsageFeatureToken]:
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return []
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def _time_features(self, value: object) -> list[float]:
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timestamp = value
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if not isinstance(timestamp, datetime):
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raise TypeError("timestamp must be a datetime")
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local = timestamp.astimezone(timezone.utc)
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minutes = local.hour * 60 + local.minute
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minute_angle = 2 * pi * minutes / 1440
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dow_angle = 2 * pi * (local.isoweekday() - 1) / 7
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return [
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sin(minute_angle),
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cos(minute_angle),
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sin(dow_angle),
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cos(dow_angle),
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]
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def _future_features(
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self,
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target_at: datetime,
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issued_at: datetime,
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weather_by_target: dict[datetime, list[dict[str, object]]],
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) -> list[float]:
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weather = self._weather_for_target(
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target_at=target_at,
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issued_at=issued_at,
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weather_by_target=weather_by_target,
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)
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return [
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*self._time_features(target_at),
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self._number(weather.get("temperature_c")),
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self._number(weather.get("shortwave_radiation_w_m2")),
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self._number(weather.get("cloud_cover_pct")),
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]
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def _future_tokens(
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self,
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target_at: datetime,
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issued_at: datetime,
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) -> list[UsageFeatureToken]:
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return []
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def _weather_for_target(
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self,
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target_at: datetime,
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issued_at: datetime,
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weather_by_target: dict[datetime, list[dict[str, object]]],
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) -> dict[str, object]:
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forecast_target_at = self._floor_time(target_at, step_minutes=60)
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rows = weather_by_target.get(forecast_target_at, [])
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if not rows:
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return {}
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issued_values = [row["issued_at"] for row in rows]
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index = bisect_right(issued_values, issued_at) - 1
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if index < 0:
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return {}
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return rows[index]
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def _load_samples(self, step_seconds: int) -> list[dict[str, object]]:
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EnvLoader().load()
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database_url = environ.get("ASTRAPE_DATABASE_URL")
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if not database_url:
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raise RuntimeError("ASTRAPE_DATABASE_URL is required")
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start_at = datetime.now(timezone.utc) - timedelta(days=self.config.lookback_days)
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bucket = self._bucket_interval(step_seconds)
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try:
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import psycopg
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except ImportError as error:
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raise RuntimeError(
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"Install dependencies with `python3 -m pip install -r requirements.txt`"
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) from error
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with psycopg.connect(database_url) as connection:
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with connection.cursor() as cursor:
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cursor.execute(
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f"""
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SELECT
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time_bucket('{bucket}', observed_at) AS bucket,
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avg(load_power_w) AS load_power_w,
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avg(solar_power_w) AS solar_power_w,
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avg(grid_import_w) AS grid_import_w,
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avg(grid_export_w) AS grid_export_w,
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avg(battery_power_w) AS battery_power_w,
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avg(battery_soc_pct) AS battery_soc_pct
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FROM sigen_plant_snapshots
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WHERE observed_at >= %s
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AND observed_at <= now()
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GROUP BY bucket
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ORDER BY bucket
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""",
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(start_at,),
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)
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rows = cursor.fetchall()
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return [
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{
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"bucket": row[0],
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"load_power_w": row[1],
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"solar_power_w": row[2],
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"grid_import_w": row[3],
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"grid_export_w": row[4],
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"battery_power_w": row[5],
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"battery_soc_pct": row[6],
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}
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for row in rows
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]
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def _load_weather_forecasts(self) -> dict[datetime, list[dict[str, object]]]:
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EnvLoader().load()
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database_url = environ.get("ASTRAPE_DATABASE_URL")
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if not database_url:
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raise RuntimeError("ASTRAPE_DATABASE_URL is required")
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start_at = datetime.now(timezone.utc) - timedelta(days=self.config.lookback_days)
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end_at = datetime.now(timezone.utc) + timedelta(hours=self.config.future_hours)
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try:
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import psycopg
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except ImportError as error:
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raise RuntimeError(
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"Install dependencies with `python3 -m pip install -r requirements.txt`"
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) from error
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with psycopg.connect(database_url) as connection:
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with connection.cursor() as cursor:
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cursor.execute(
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"""
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SELECT
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issued_at,
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target_at,
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temperature_c,
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shortwave_radiation_w_m2,
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cloud_cover_pct
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FROM weather_forecast_points
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WHERE target_at >= %s
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AND target_at <= %s
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ORDER BY target_at, issued_at
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""",
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(start_at, end_at),
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)
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rows = cursor.fetchall()
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by_target: dict[datetime, list[dict[str, object]]] = {}
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for row in rows:
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by_target.setdefault(row[1], []).append(
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{
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"issued_at": row[0],
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"target_at": row[1],
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"temperature_c": row[2],
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"shortwave_radiation_w_m2": row[3],
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"cloud_cover_pct": row[4],
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}
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)
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return by_target
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def _bucket_interval(self, step_seconds: int) -> str:
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if step_seconds % 60 == 0:
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return f"{step_seconds // 60} minutes"
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return f"{step_seconds} seconds"
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def _ceil_time(self, value: datetime, step_minutes: int) -> datetime:
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step_seconds = step_minutes * 60
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timestamp = value.timestamp()
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remainder = timestamp % step_seconds
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if remainder:
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timestamp += step_seconds - remainder
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return datetime.fromtimestamp(timestamp, timezone.utc)
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def _floor_time(self, value: datetime, step_minutes: int) -> datetime:
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step_seconds = step_minutes * 60
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timestamp = value.timestamp()
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timestamp -= timestamp % step_seconds
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return datetime.fromtimestamp(timestamp, timezone.utc)
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def _number(self, value: object) -> float:
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if value is None:
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return 0.0
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return float(value)
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