Files
Astrape/gibil/classes/predictors/usage_sequence_dataset.py
T
rpotter6298 c8e3016fd6 Add new daemons and debug scripts for Sigenergy and Oracle functionalities
- Implement `sigen_daemon.py` to poll Sigenergy plant metrics and store snapshots.
- Create `web_daemon.py` for serving a web interface with various endpoints.
- Add debug scripts:
  - `debug_duplicates.py` to find duplicate target times in forecast data.
  - `debug_energy_forecast.py` to print baseline energy forecast curves.
  - `debug_oracle_evaluations.py` to run the oracle evaluator.
  - `debug_sigen.py` to inspect stored Sigenergy plant snapshots.
  - `debug_weather.py` to trace resolved truth data.
  - `modbus_test.py` for exploring Sigenergy plants or inverters over Modbus TCP.
- Introduce `oracle_evaluator.py` for evaluating stored oracle predictions against actuals.
- Add TCN training scripts in `tcn` directory for training usage sequence models.
2026-04-28 08:14:00 +02:00

406 lines
14 KiB
Python

from __future__ import annotations
from bisect import bisect_right
from dataclasses import dataclass
from datetime import datetime, timedelta, timezone
from math import cos, pi, sin
from os import environ
from typing import Iterator
from gibil.classes.env_loader import EnvLoader
@dataclass(frozen=True)
class UsageSequenceScaleConfig:
name: str
hours: int
step_seconds: int
@dataclass(frozen=True)
class UsageFeatureToken:
name: str
value: float
@dataclass(frozen=True)
class UsageSequenceDatasetConfig:
lookback_days: int = 30
future_hours: int = 24
future_step_minutes: int = 15
stride_minutes: int = 15
local_timezone: str = "Europe/Stockholm"
past_scales: tuple[UsageSequenceScaleConfig, ...] = (
UsageSequenceScaleConfig(name="recent", hours=2, step_seconds=10),
UsageSequenceScaleConfig(name="medium", hours=6, step_seconds=30),
UsageSequenceScaleConfig(name="daily", hours=24, step_seconds=120),
)
@classmethod
def from_env(cls) -> "UsageSequenceDatasetConfig":
EnvLoader().load()
return cls(
lookback_days=int(environ.get("ASTRAPE_USAGE_SEQUENCE_LOOKBACK_DAYS", "30")),
future_hours=int(environ.get("ASTRAPE_USAGE_SEQUENCE_FUTURE_HOURS", "24")),
future_step_minutes=int(
environ.get("ASTRAPE_USAGE_SEQUENCE_FUTURE_STEP_MINUTES", "15")
),
stride_minutes=int(environ.get("ASTRAPE_USAGE_SEQUENCE_STRIDE_MINUTES", "15")),
local_timezone=environ.get(
"ASTRAPE_LOCAL_TIMEZONE",
environ.get("TZ", "Europe/Stockholm"),
),
)
@dataclass(frozen=True)
class UsageSequenceExample:
issued_at: datetime
past_by_scale: dict[str, list[list[float]]]
past_tokens_by_scale: dict[str, list[list[UsageFeatureToken]]]
future_features: list[list[float]]
future_tokens: list[list[UsageFeatureToken]]
targets: list[float]
class UsageSequenceDatasetBuilder:
"""Builds load forecasting windows from Sigen history."""
past_feature_names = [
"load_power_w",
"solar_power_w",
"grid_import_w",
"grid_export_w",
"battery_power_w",
"battery_soc_pct",
"hour_sin",
"hour_cos",
"dow_sin",
"dow_cos",
]
future_feature_names = [
"hour_sin",
"hour_cos",
"dow_sin",
"dow_cos",
"temperature_c",
"shortwave_radiation_w_m2",
"cloud_cover_pct",
]
def __init__(self, config: UsageSequenceDatasetConfig) -> None:
self.config = config
@classmethod
def from_env(cls) -> "UsageSequenceDatasetBuilder":
return cls(UsageSequenceDatasetConfig.from_env())
def build(self, limit: int | None = None) -> list[UsageSequenceExample]:
samples_by_scale = {
scale.name: self._load_samples(step_seconds=scale.step_seconds)
for scale in self.config.past_scales
}
target_samples = self._load_samples(
step_seconds=self.config.future_step_minutes * 60
)
weather_by_target = self._load_weather_forecasts()
if not target_samples or any(not samples for samples in samples_by_scale.values()):
return []
by_scale = {
name: {sample["bucket"]: sample for sample in samples}
for name, samples in samples_by_scale.items()
}
target_by_time = {
sample["bucket"]: sample
for sample in target_samples
}
first_available = max(samples[0]["bucket"] for samples in samples_by_scale.values())
last_available = min(
[samples[-1]["bucket"] for samples in samples_by_scale.values()]
+ [target_samples[-1]["bucket"]]
)
start_at = first_available + timedelta(hours=self.max_past_hours)
end_at = last_available - timedelta(hours=self.config.future_hours)
issued_at = self._ceil_time(start_at, self.config.stride_minutes)
examples: list[UsageSequenceExample] = []
while issued_at <= end_at:
example = self._build_example(
issued_at,
by_scale,
target_by_time,
weather_by_target,
)
if example is not None:
examples.append(example)
if limit is not None and len(examples) >= limit:
break
issued_at += timedelta(minutes=self.config.stride_minutes)
return examples
def iter_examples(self) -> Iterator[UsageSequenceExample]:
for example in self.build():
yield example
def _build_example(
self,
issued_at: datetime,
by_scale: dict[str, dict[datetime, dict[str, object]]],
target_by_time: dict[datetime, dict[str, object]],
weather_by_target: dict[datetime, list[dict[str, object]]],
) -> UsageSequenceExample | None:
future_times = [
issued_at + timedelta(minutes=self.config.future_step_minutes * offset)
for offset in range(1, self.future_steps + 1)
]
past_by_scale: dict[str, list[list[float]]] = {}
past_tokens_by_scale: dict[str, list[list[UsageFeatureToken]]] = {}
for scale in self.config.past_scales:
past_times = [
issued_at - timedelta(seconds=scale.step_seconds * offset)
for offset in range(self.past_steps(scale), 0, -1)
]
past_rows = [
by_scale[scale.name].get(target_at)
for target_at in past_times
]
if any(row is None or row["load_power_w"] is None for row in past_rows):
return None
past_by_scale[scale.name] = [
self._past_features(row) for row in past_rows if row is not None
]
past_tokens_by_scale[scale.name] = [
self._past_tokens(row) for row in past_rows if row is not None
]
future_rows = [target_by_time.get(target_at) for target_at in future_times]
if any(row is None or row["load_power_w"] is None for row in future_rows):
return None
return UsageSequenceExample(
issued_at=issued_at,
past_by_scale=past_by_scale,
past_tokens_by_scale=past_tokens_by_scale,
future_features=[
self._future_features(target_at, issued_at, weather_by_target)
for target_at in future_times
],
future_tokens=[
self._future_tokens(target_at=target_at, issued_at=issued_at)
for target_at in future_times
],
targets=[
float(row["load_power_w"])
for row in future_rows
if row is not None
],
)
@property
def max_past_hours(self) -> int:
return max(scale.hours for scale in self.config.past_scales)
def past_steps(self, scale: UsageSequenceScaleConfig) -> int:
return scale.hours * 60 * 60 // scale.step_seconds
@property
def future_steps(self) -> int:
return self.config.future_hours * 60 // self.config.future_step_minutes
def _past_features(self, row: dict[str, object]) -> list[float]:
time_features = self._time_features(row["bucket"])
return [
self._number(row["load_power_w"]),
self._number(row["solar_power_w"]),
self._number(row["grid_import_w"]),
self._number(row["grid_export_w"]),
self._number(row["battery_power_w"]),
self._number(row["battery_soc_pct"]),
*time_features,
]
def _past_tokens(self, row: dict[str, object]) -> list[UsageFeatureToken]:
return []
def _time_features(self, value: object) -> list[float]:
timestamp = value
if not isinstance(timestamp, datetime):
raise TypeError("timestamp must be a datetime")
local = timestamp.astimezone(timezone.utc)
minutes = local.hour * 60 + local.minute
minute_angle = 2 * pi * minutes / 1440
dow_angle = 2 * pi * (local.isoweekday() - 1) / 7
return [
sin(minute_angle),
cos(minute_angle),
sin(dow_angle),
cos(dow_angle),
]
def _future_features(
self,
target_at: datetime,
issued_at: datetime,
weather_by_target: dict[datetime, list[dict[str, object]]],
) -> list[float]:
weather = self._weather_for_target(
target_at=target_at,
issued_at=issued_at,
weather_by_target=weather_by_target,
)
return [
*self._time_features(target_at),
self._number(weather.get("temperature_c")),
self._number(weather.get("shortwave_radiation_w_m2")),
self._number(weather.get("cloud_cover_pct")),
]
def _future_tokens(
self,
target_at: datetime,
issued_at: datetime,
) -> list[UsageFeatureToken]:
return []
def _weather_for_target(
self,
target_at: datetime,
issued_at: datetime,
weather_by_target: dict[datetime, list[dict[str, object]]],
) -> dict[str, object]:
forecast_target_at = self._floor_time(target_at, step_minutes=60)
rows = weather_by_target.get(forecast_target_at, [])
if not rows:
return {}
issued_values = [row["issued_at"] for row in rows]
index = bisect_right(issued_values, issued_at) - 1
if index < 0:
return {}
return rows[index]
def _load_samples(self, step_seconds: int) -> list[dict[str, object]]:
EnvLoader().load()
database_url = environ.get("ASTRAPE_DATABASE_URL")
if not database_url:
raise RuntimeError("ASTRAPE_DATABASE_URL is required")
start_at = datetime.now(timezone.utc) - timedelta(days=self.config.lookback_days)
bucket = self._bucket_interval(step_seconds)
try:
import psycopg
except ImportError as error:
raise RuntimeError(
"Install dependencies with `python3 -m pip install -r requirements.txt`"
) from error
with psycopg.connect(database_url) as connection:
with connection.cursor() as cursor:
cursor.execute(
f"""
SELECT
time_bucket('{bucket}', observed_at) AS bucket,
avg(load_power_w) AS load_power_w,
avg(solar_power_w) AS solar_power_w,
avg(grid_import_w) AS grid_import_w,
avg(grid_export_w) AS grid_export_w,
avg(battery_power_w) AS battery_power_w,
avg(battery_soc_pct) AS battery_soc_pct
FROM sigen_plant_snapshots
WHERE observed_at >= %s
AND observed_at <= now()
GROUP BY bucket
ORDER BY bucket
""",
(start_at,),
)
rows = cursor.fetchall()
return [
{
"bucket": row[0],
"load_power_w": row[1],
"solar_power_w": row[2],
"grid_import_w": row[3],
"grid_export_w": row[4],
"battery_power_w": row[5],
"battery_soc_pct": row[6],
}
for row in rows
]
def _load_weather_forecasts(self) -> dict[datetime, list[dict[str, object]]]:
EnvLoader().load()
database_url = environ.get("ASTRAPE_DATABASE_URL")
if not database_url:
raise RuntimeError("ASTRAPE_DATABASE_URL is required")
start_at = datetime.now(timezone.utc) - timedelta(days=self.config.lookback_days)
end_at = datetime.now(timezone.utc) + timedelta(hours=self.config.future_hours)
try:
import psycopg
except ImportError as error:
raise RuntimeError(
"Install dependencies with `python3 -m pip install -r requirements.txt`"
) from error
with psycopg.connect(database_url) as connection:
with connection.cursor() as cursor:
cursor.execute(
"""
SELECT
issued_at,
target_at,
temperature_c,
shortwave_radiation_w_m2,
cloud_cover_pct
FROM weather_forecast_points
WHERE target_at >= %s
AND target_at <= %s
ORDER BY target_at, issued_at
""",
(start_at, end_at),
)
rows = cursor.fetchall()
by_target: dict[datetime, list[dict[str, object]]] = {}
for row in rows:
by_target.setdefault(row[1], []).append(
{
"issued_at": row[0],
"target_at": row[1],
"temperature_c": row[2],
"shortwave_radiation_w_m2": row[3],
"cloud_cover_pct": row[4],
}
)
return by_target
def _bucket_interval(self, step_seconds: int) -> str:
if step_seconds % 60 == 0:
return f"{step_seconds // 60} minutes"
return f"{step_seconds} seconds"
def _ceil_time(self, value: datetime, step_minutes: int) -> datetime:
step_seconds = step_minutes * 60
timestamp = value.timestamp()
remainder = timestamp % step_seconds
if remainder:
timestamp += step_seconds - remainder
return datetime.fromtimestamp(timestamp, timezone.utc)
def _floor_time(self, value: datetime, step_minutes: int) -> datetime:
step_seconds = step_minutes * 60
timestamp = value.timestamp()
timestamp -= timestamp % step_seconds
return datetime.fromtimestamp(timestamp, timezone.utc)
def _number(self, value: object) -> float:
if value is None:
return 0.0
return float(value)